A week that was… Iran and P5+1 nuclear talks, world oil prices continue to fall, Putin talks Russian policy, Mideast politics, a flare up of words between the U.S. and Israel against backdrop of U.S. Congressional elections, Palestinian recognition, regional war update, petropolitics, China, energy policies, costs and alternatives, digital rights, and the Pope speaks of support for evolution and ‘protection’ of the planet
An overview of conflict and war with the independent perspective of Strategic Demands
Is the (Iranian) Revolution Over? The Economist makes a (hedged but bold) prediction about the future of nuclear talks and outcomes. “A deal is increasingly in Iran’s interests… Oil pays the government’s bills; its recent 25% fall in price is squeezing the economy… Changes in Iran make a nuclear deal more likely—not this month, perhaps, but eventually.”
Leaving the multi-generational conflict involving Israel and moving on to Libya, Jordan, Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, Turkey, Iran, Afghanistan… Saudi Arabia and the Gulf states, a region awash with petrodollars, rights abuses, failed state governments, hundreds of billions spent and deployed in armaments from the West and civil war —
with a sidebar about increasing world supply-Bloomberg and revealing footnote from the Houston Chronicle, “the global oil market is undergoing dramatic and unexpected changes well beyond our borders, and frankly, our control.”
— the headlines of the oil price story, and its impact on politics and security policy, is followed by a wry Arabiya commentary on Obama-Netanyahu:
What of alternatives to oil politics?
Near-, mid- and long-term renewable energy sources are demanded as answers to war-for-oil and the rising strategic threats of regional and global external costs (global warming/climate change, pollution, rising seas, loss of civil liberties…)
The full-costs of fossil-fueled economies, considered in a more thorough green economic analysis, need to be discussed/debated and the added costs of oil/gas, with externalities, revealed for what they are…
A young, personal point of view from Alex @Google+ who brings some 21M views
The escalating costs of war-time economies includes the encroaching world of intrusive surveillance… the costs accruing, the hundreds of billions spent on security state apparatus, the risks of these police/military actions on civilian life and populations, the ever-widening loss of privacy, the threats to liberty and human rights in the face of wars that continue to flare and spread in the securing of oil and gas…
The correlation between hard costs of production and the added costs, the ‘externalities’ that are paid by society beyond the price delivered per gallon, as we pointed out last week with a quote from the former supreme commander of NATO, involves a multiplier effect… the real price per gallon to fill the tank, or heat the home, or run the factory needs to be seen for what it is — the price, the cost of oil and gas far outstrips its perceived price/cost — and it’s time to move to reduce the price and cost.
Sustainable security means moving beyond the high full cost, failing policies of oil and gas and attendant war protectorate, security state, global health impacts and environmental threats and all the lost opportunity costs.
While larger forces at work so often sway opinion that little is possible, when you think things can’t change, they do —
As just one example among many, the Catholic Pope Francis continues his earth- and science-friendly teaching.
Speaking to the Pontifical Academy of Sciences this week on “Evolving Topics of Nature,” and he affirmed and extended Catholic teaching: “Evolution in nature is not inconsistent with the notion of creation, because evolution requires the creation of beings that evolve.”